Friday, October 29, 2010

Week 8

2-4 last week. I am not picking winners this season, this is getting scary. Time to turn things around this week.

Detroit (-2.5) vs Washington
Wow, Detroit is favored over Washington, even though Washington beat Chicago last week. DeAngelo Hall did his best Bears receiver impression last week catching 4 passes from Jay Cutler. Too bad he plays for the Skins. Anyway, Matt Statford is back this week and this is a nice test for him. The Skins have a decent defense, but I think the whole key will be Detroit's Defense. Can they stop McNabb?
Lions 21 - Redskins 20

NY Jets (-6.5) vs Green Bay
This is a very important game for both teams. I am still not convinced the Jets are as good as their record, but I guess this is why I am not doing this season picking winners. So forget about the game, my strategy is this, The Odds makers know more than me.
Jets 28 - Packers 21

San Diego (-3.5) vs Tennessee
I think this is the week San Diego comes out of their slump. As long as they don't let Kenny Britt torch them for 200+ yards.
Chargers 34 - Titans 24

New England (-5.5) vs Minnesota
Randy Moss returns to New England. I don't see him beating the Pats. I do see a high scoring game
Patriots 44 - Vikings 37

New Orleans (-.5) vs Pittsburgh
The Saints will turn things around this week
Saints 24 - Steelers 21

Indianapolis (-5.5) vs Houston
I called week 1 upset of the Texans knocking off Colts. This is a very important game to determine who will win the AFC South. Peyton Manning's favorite target is out for the season, so who will become his new favorite? The Texans are so inconsistent.
Colts 28 - Texans 20

Saturday, October 23, 2010

week 7

Wow, I have really been slumping, I am going back to picking 6 games a week, like that tool Goldberg does. The rest of my picks are on my espn.com account. Here we go:

Atlanta (-3.5) vs Cincinnati
I still believe the Falcons are the best team in the NFC, however getting shellacked by the Eagles last week, I am not as sure. The formula is there, a good team, coming off a bad loss on the road, returning home against a team that has no identity. I love the Falcons here and I love Mt. St. Owens beginning his inevitable melt down.
Falcons 27 - Bengals 21

San Francisco (-3.5) @ Carolina.
I picked the 49ers to win the NFC West, I still think they will. Carolina is really bad, so bad in fact, they are going back to Matt Moore as their QB, the Jimmy Clausen experiment will continue again by week 10 or 11. Alex Smith is a serviceable QB, Frank Gore still has some football left in him. And I don't see the Panthers stopping the run
49ers 34 - Panthers 21

Pittsburgh (-3.5) @ Miami
Miami has to win this game at home, they cannot afford to go 0-3 at home if they expect to make the playoffs. Big Ben has a week under his belt, he will be much sharper this week. The Steelers will run all over Miami, can Miami do the same against the Steelers? Chad Henne has yet to show me consistency
Steelers 24 - Dolphins 20

San Diego (-2.5) vs New England
Wow, the Chargers are disappointing this season. I don't see things changing so fast for them.
Patriots 35 - Chargers 17

Green Bay (-2.5) vs Minnesota
I am not a Brett Favre fan, but Adrian Peterson and Percy Harvin are studs and Randy Moss is getting use to his new home.
Vikings 29 - Packers 21

Dallas (-3.5) vs NY Giants
Must win for Dallas to save their season. If they lose, heads will roll.
Cowboys 28 - Giants 24

Friday, October 15, 2010

Week 6

Wow, I really sucked last week. I couldn't pick a winner even if I guessed against myself. So here are some of my thoughts coming into this weekend:

Chicago (-6.5) vs Seattle
The Bears are at home against the Seahawks. Jay Cutler will be back after missing a week with a concussion. BTW, how many concussions have there been this season so far? Are the hits getting harder or just the diagnosis getting easier? Anyway, I am not buying into the Seahawks as anything more than an 8-8 team. And sadly, they might win their division. Seahawks are on the road, where they do not do well. It will be interesting to see if Marshawn Lynch gets some opportunities. I like the Bears this week
Bears 24 - Seahawks 13

New England (-2.5) vs Baltimore
Patriots at home coming off a bye week, it's hard to pick against that. However, the Ravens could be the best team in the NFL. Their Defense has not been leading the way and Ed Reed is a week or so away of returning. Tom Brady has one of his favorite targets back in Dieon Branch. The Patriots have proven they can win as long as Tom Brady is protected.
Patriots 27 - Ravens 24

NY Giants (-10.5) vs Detroit
The Lions are coming off a 44 pt out pour on the poor Rams. I thought the Rams would surprise everyone last week, I was wrong. I am still not buying into the Lions, they are much improved, but lack something. The Giants seem to be clicking and this could very well be a blow out.
Giants 38 - Lions 17

Philadelphia (-1.5) vs Atlanta
Matt Ryan returns home to play the Eagles. 2 years ago, the Eagles stifled him, I think this Eagle Defense is much better. Here's the problem, The Eagles Offensive line is not doing so well and I think they will get to Kevin Kolb. Kolb will have to make fast decisions and that will lead to LeSean McCoy getting a lot of touches. However, the Falcons, in my opinion are the best team in the NFC, at least right now and I think they find a way to win
Falcons 22 - Eagles 20

Pittsburgh (-13.5) vs Cleveland
Rookie QB Colt McCoy starting in Pittsburgh, ouch. Big Ben returns from his 4 week suspension with a lot to prove, this won't be pretty if you are a Browns fan
Pittsburgh 37 - Browns 6

Green Bay (-1.5) vs Miami
Will Aaron Rodgers play or not?
Dolphins 24 - Packers 11

San Diego (-8.5) @ St. Louis
Chargers coming off a sloppy loss to the Raiders and The Lions coming off a sloppy loss to the Lions. I feel Norv Turner is on the hot seat this year, especially if they don't win the AFC West and make it to the Championship game. The Rams are a good team to take it all out on, but will the young Rams Defense be able to contain the high powered Chargers Offense?
Chargers 31 - Rams 16

New Orleans (-5.5) @ Tampa
The Saints are a better team than the Bucs, but I get the impression from the Bucs, they don't know they are not suppose to be competitive. Josh Freeman is definitely a future star in this league and I like their young receiving corp. But the Saints proved last year they can win and even with all of the injuries, I still think Drew Brees and company pulls this one out.
Saints 26 - Bucs 20

Houston (-4.5) vs Kansas City
Houston got destroyed last week by the Giants. They were not in the game at all. Matt Schaub has been very inconsistent this season and that really hurts their chances of winning the division. Andre Johnson is hurt, but the whole key to the team is Owen Daniels, with him still recovering from injuries, the Texans haven't been able to move the ball like in the past. The Chiefs, like the Buccs are a young team with a lot of talent, but lack experience. I think they should move Dwayne Bowe and stock pile some draft picks. This game will come down to which defense shows up to stop the other.
Texans 28 - Chiefs 17

San Francisco (-6.5) vs Oakland
Finally, the 49ers get off the schneid, or the Coach gets canned.
49ers 35 - Raiders 21

NY Jets (3.5) @ Denver
I still don't buy into the Jets. I don't know what it is, but I don't see them as a top team in the league. LT can't go on like this whole season, can he? Mark Sanchez is still a sophomore? The Defense, despite injuries is still one of the best in the league. Kyle Orton is having a great season, this will be a great test.
Jets 26 - Broncos 23

Minnesota (-1.5) vs Dallas
My least favorite player against my least favorite team
Cowboys 24 - Vikings 21

Indianapolis (-3.5) @ Washington
Peyton Manning tears the skins defense to shreads. McNabb does the same to Indy's.
Colts 44 - Redskins 34

Tennessee (-3.5) @ Jacksonville
Jags keep it close the first three quarters, Titans run away from the in the 4th
Titans 31 - Jags 13

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Week 5

I didn't have a good week last week, much like the Eagles, I felt like my ribs were broken and cartilage torn, so after 6 wins, let's see if we can get back on track with week 5.

Jacksonville (-1.5) @ Buffalo
Buffalo is bad, real bad. Jacksonville, is a little better, but not sure how much. David Garrard is too inconsistent and on the road, not sure what you are going to get, Buffalo traded Marshawn Lynch this past week, making way for CJ Spiller and Fred Jackson to take the reigns. I don't see the Bills going 0-16, they are going to have to win a game sooner than later, the law of averages say so.
Bills 24 - Jags 20

Cincinnati (-6.5) vs Tampa
The Bucs started off so well, but were quickly brought back to earth by the Steelers. They are a very young team, with a good up and coming QB. The Bengals are a mess, you don't know what you are really getting, but they have talent. Their Defense has been good, but not spectacular. Carson Palmer has fallen pretty far, but has talent around him.
Bengals 30 - Buccs 21

Atlanta (-3.5) @ Cleveland
This is a very interesting match up. I love Atlanta this year, I think Matt Ryan is the verge of being a top 5 QB, think of Tony Romo, but better. I like their supporting cast and I really like Head Coach Mike Smith. But Cleveland is one of those teams that doesn't look good on paper, but at the end of the year, they will win 7-8 games and you will wonder how? I kinda want to see Cleveland lose some so Colt McCoy will get a chance at QB. Here's the break down, Can Peyton Hillis rush for 100+ yards? Will Mo Massaqueri finally have a break out game? Will Josh Cribbs have a total of 100 all purpose yards? But it comes down to this, can Cleveland's Defense contain, Atlanta's Offense?
Falcons 26 - Browns 17

Detroit (-3.5) vs St. Louis
The Rams are in first place in the NFC West and the Lions are winless. Sam Bradford looks really good for a rookie. Matthew Stratford is still hurt. Both Head Coaches Jim Scwartz and Steve Spagnola are solid up and coming coaches in the league. It's hard to see a home field advantage, St. Louis plays in a dome of their own and I don't see a "raucous" crowd in Ford Field to change the game. I see a shoot out and whomever has the ball last wins.
Rams 45 - Lions 41

Indianapolis (-8.5) vs Kansas City
Usually a team off their bye week will have an extra week to prepare for their next opponent, but KC will have to deal with an irate Indy team, who lost to Jacksonville on a last second field goal. Division rival or not, losing to Jax is not good for Peyton Manning and company. Indy's defense losing Melvin Bullet hurts. KC is playing way above what anyone thought. It's hard to see KC as more than a touchdown under dog, even on the road. I still think Indy is good, but Indy of 2 years ago would blow them away. I think this is a close game and KC's Special Teams will have a big day.
Colts 28 - Chiefs 23 (1972 Dolphins can pop the champagne early this season)

Green Bay (-2.5) @ Washington
The Redskins beat the Eagles last week. The Packers beat them in week 1. Both teams didn't do it pretty. Donovan McNabb still has some left in the tank, too bad he has NO ONE around him. Aaron Rodgers is at the top of his game with lots of weapons. Skins defense is better than the Pack's.
Packers 24 - Redskins 14

Chicago (-1.5) @ Carolina
Todd Collins gets the start for the Bears. Jimmy Clausen gets his third start minus Steve Smith this week. The Bears defense is good, The Panthers Defense is not.
Bears 13 - Panther 10

Baltimore (7.5) vs Denver
Ravens 23 - Broncos 21

Houston (-3.5) vs NY Giants
Not sure which Giant or Texan team will show up
Giants 26 - Texans 24

New Orleans (-8.5) @ Arizona
Rookie QB starting in the Desert, don't know what you are getting. But you have Larry Fitzgerald to throw to. New Orleans too many weapons on Offense.
Saints 38 - Cardinals 14

San Diego (-6.5) @ Oakland
Both teams are mysteries.
Chargers 24 - Raiders 17

Dallas (-6.5) vs Tennessee
Vince Young coming home. he has a lot to prove. Chris Johnson is no where near the 2,500 yard pace. Titans Defense looked flat last week. Cowboys coming off a bye needs a big one at home. Tony Romo is due for a big game as do the Cowboys Running Attack. If it was a game of coaching, Titans would win by 5 scores, but it comes down to talent
Cowboys 28 - Titans 20

San Francisco (-3.5) vs Philadelphia
Eagles 2-0 on the road, San Fran 0-4. Kevin Kolb gets his big chance due to Michael Vick's injury. It comes down to LeSean McCoy, if he plays, he is playing with broken ribs, OUCH. I am not sure Mike Bell can do half of what McCoy can. Alex Smith has regressed and I have a feeling David Carr will get into this game. Can the Eagles stop Frank Gore?
49ers 26 - Eagles 21

NY Jets (-4.5) vs Minnesota
I am not a fan of the Jets. I am not a fan of Rex Ryan, Mark Sanchez or Braylon Edwards. I think LT Is playing on borrowed time. Randy Moss is back with the Vikings and the Diva has a weapon to chuck the ball to. It all comes down to Adrian Peterson and Percy Harvin.
Vikings 31 - Jets 28