Thursday, September 23, 2010

NFL's Week 3

Here are my picks for the coming weekend:
San Francisco (-2.5) @ Kansas City. If you would have told anyone 2 weeks ago, one team would be undefeated and the other is still searching for a win, you probably would have picked San Fran to be the better team. The 49ers played well enough to win Monday night against New Orleans, but on a last second field goal, they didn't. San Francisco had too many turnovers and have been playing sloppy so far in this young season. Kansas City has been doing it by running the ball, as well as special teams. This game will be a true test for the Chiefs, can their run defense stop Frank Gore? Will Alex Smith distribute the ball to all of weapons? Can Matt Cassell manage the game and not turn the ball over?
Chiefs 24 - San Fran 20

Baltimore (+10.5) hosting Cleveland. The Cleveland Browns are this bad. Or are they? They lost 2 games by a total of 5 points, granted they lost to the Buccs in Tampa and KC. Cleveland is hurt by injuries - Jake Delhomme and Jerome Harrison. The big question for the Browns can they stop the Ravens Ray Rice? The Ravens will be playing with a chip on their shoulder losing a game they could have one last week against Cincinnati. I wouldn't want to play against an angry Ray Lewis. Joe Flacco looks confused and has digressed from his brilliant Rookie Campaign 2 season's ago. But I think this is a break out game for Baltimore and I think they win Big at home.
Ravens 33 - Cleveland 9

Dallas (+2.5) @ Houston. Another 2-0/0-2 match up. Dallas has looked uninspired and dreadful and I know it's only week 3, but at 0-3, will they make the playoffs? The Offensive Line has been bad, The Defense couldn't stop Chicago last week. So how are they going to stop the hot Matt Schaub? How will they contain Arian Foster? Do they have an answer for Andre Johnson? I think Dallas has another bad game, but I think Houston will come down from the high of winning two big games.
Cowboys 27 - Texans 23

Detroit (+10.5) @ Minnesota. How does Minnesota become a double digit favorite playing the way they have so far? Oh yeah, they have Adrian Peterson. LeSean McCoy torched the Lions Defense for 120 yards. Peterson will run all day and if Brett the Diva doesn't turn the ball over (hint short passes to Harvin), Minnesota will win this game easily. Detroit is still a year away, but they are moving in the right direction.
Vikings 46 - Lions 17

Patriots (-13.5) hosting Buffalo. On paper this is probably the biggest lopsided game. The Pats have won 7 straight against Buffalo and they go against New QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. I think everyone is expecting pass pass pass from Tom Brady, but I think they will run run run. I think CJ Spiller has his coming out party and breaks the 100 yard market. But ultimately, New England is too much.
Patriots 31 - Bills 17

Atlanta (+4.5) @ New Orleans. The Saints are undefeated and looking like world beaters. They are determined to repeat as World Champions. But do not tell Atlanta that. I really like Michael Turner and Jason Snelling pounding the Saints Defense. And I expect Matt Ryan to pick apart the secondary. I think this will be a huge upset and set the Falcons in motion to win the division.
Falcons 28 - Saints 17

Tennessee (+3.5) @ NY Giants. Both teams got spanked last week, so it back to the basics. For the Titans, that's running Chris Johnson and a tenacious defense. For the Giants, well, I am not sure what it is. I see Tennessee stopping the Giants from doing anything and holding on to the ball for 40-45 minutes.
Titans 19 - Giants 10

Carolina (-3.5) hosting Cincinnati. I am not sold on Cincinnati. I am waiting for Mt St. Owens to explode, it's going to happen. I do like Jordan Shippley and think he is a better option than TO. Cincinnati defense has played well, but last week, Baltimore's offense was putrid. Of all the Rookie QB's, Jimmy Clausen was my least favorite, probably because he played at Notre Dame. But I see big things coming from him in the future and I don't see the Panthers winning too many games this season, I do see hope in Clausen.
Panthers 22 - Bengals 20

Pittsburgh (-2.5) @ Tampa. Tampa is a young team with an up and coming QB. Pittsburgh is playing with QB no. 4. Tampa's Defense has been good, but truly untested. Pittsburgh's Defense has been good and very well tested. I like the Steelers in a low scoring, grinding game.
Steelers 13 - Tampa 7

Philadelphia (-2.5) @ Jacksonville. We all know the Michael Vick story, so let's look at the other factors 1. LeSean McCoy looks like he will be a star (of course 120 yards against Detroit is hard to justify that statement.) 2. Philly's Defense made stops when they had to, they should do the same this week. 3. David Garrard might be playing himself out of town. Jack Del Rio deserves better than this.
Eagles 29 - Jags 14

St. Louis (+2.5) hosting Washington. Donovan McNabb will have a huge game. Sam Bradford will learn from watching McNabb
Redskins 27 - Rams 24

Denver (+6.5) hosting Indianapolis. I think Denver is far from being a dominant team, but the pieces are starting to come together. Indy will start to show their age sometime, just not sure when?
Colts 23 - Broncos 17

Oakland (+4.5) @ Arizona. This should be one ugly game. I like Darren McFadden running all over the place. I like Bruce Gradkowski picking apart Arizona Defense. I think this is the begging of the End for Derrick Anderson.
Raiders 33 - Cardinals 14

San Diego (-5.5) @ Seattle. The Chargers will be without Rookie Back Ryan Mathews. Phillip Rivers will be forced to win this game in a hostile environment. Matt Hasselbeck has played well, but not close to spectacular.
Chargers 26 - Seahawks 19

Miami (-1.5) hosting the NY Jets. Interesting game, Miami's Defense has propelled them to this 2-0 start. Ronnie Brown has been solid and Chad Henne has been fair. Mark Sanchez has shown flashes of brilliance and LT at times looks like his old self. Jason Taylor will be coming home to a tremendous ovation. I see this being a very low scoring game, unless 1 or 2 things can happen. Brandon Marshall can hold on to the ball and a Jet Receiver can step up.
Dolphins 16 - Jets 13

Green Bay (-3.5) @ Chicago. This just on a hunch, nothing more, nothing less.
Bears 24 - Packers 21

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